SWP Newsletter – November 2024

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It’s the last month of Spring and with summer on the way and many already planning for Christmas and holidays, it might be a busy month.

Interest rates are expected to remain on hold when the Reserve Bank board meets next week despite welcome news on the inflation front. The Consumer Price Index rose just 0.2% in the September quarter and 2.8% for the year, the lowest rate in just over three years. Prices fell slightly for alcohol and tobacco, clothing, housing, health, and financial services. Transport costs also fell for the first time since 2020.

Share prices softened during the past two weeks of October, recorded the worst monthly performance in six months. The S&P/ASX 200 closed slightly down by 0.3% over the month, after again reaching record highs mid-month.

The Australian dollar ended the month at 65.7 US cents after almost hitting 70 US cents just a few weeks ago. Investors were reacting to the weaker than expected Australian retail sales and stronger US unemployment and retail sales figures.

Iron ore has hit a one-month low at USD104.08 after the heady highs in January of almost USD 145 in January. All eyes are on meetings in China next week about expanding its stimulus measures.